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Red35
198214.9
177512.2
39286.9
Blue17
19397.4
173013.6
25603.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions272501020304050603517

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1982
Unranked
14.90.4
11.311.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
1730
Unranked
13.60.4
15.314.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1775
Unranked
12.20.4
8.89.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.8
1939
Unranked
7.40.4
8.37.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3928
Unranked
6.90.4
7.37.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.6
2560
Unranked
3.30.4
1.81.4
Auto
Teleop
End