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Red21
171011.3
173013.6
198713.3
Blue13
14442.2
198410.4
17647.1
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions402201030506070802113

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1730
Unranked
13.61.0
14.013.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.2
1984
Unranked
10.40.4
10.610.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1987
Unranked
13.31.0
14.513.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.2
1764
Unranked
7.10.4
7.26.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1710
Unranked
11.31.0
12.111.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.0
1444
Unranked
2.20.4
3.63.1
Auto
Teleop
End