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Red32
43297.7
198410.4
328410.6
Blue34
23465.8
93520.5
31727.7
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2832010204050603234

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3284
Unranked
10.60.2
10.410.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.9
935
Unranked
20.50.1
20.720.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1984
Unranked
10.40.2
10.210.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.7
3172
Unranked
7.70.1
5.65.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4329
Unranked
7.70.2
7.57.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.9
2346
Unranked
5.80.1
5.55.6
Auto
Teleop
End