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Red28
37846.1
352826.1
14442.2
Blue23
39286.9
109411.3
180213.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2625010203040502823

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3528
Unranked
26.10.1
20.921.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.6
1802
Unranked
13.50.1
8.38.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3784
Unranked
6.10.1
1.51.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.1
1094
Unranked
11.30.1
8.48.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1444
Unranked
2.20.1
3.53.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.7
3928
Unranked
6.90.1
8.08.0
Auto
Teleop
End