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Red67
198633.1
109411.3
31727.7
Blue48
352826.1
180610.5
198515.0
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48530204060806748

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1986
Unranked
33.10.3
31.631.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.0
3528
Unranked
26.10.1
26.526.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1094
Unranked
11.30.3
9.810.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.8
1985
Unranked
15.00.1
15.415.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3172
Unranked
7.70.3
6.26.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.8
1806
Unranked
10.50.1
10.910.8
Auto
Teleop
End