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Red33
21028.3
69416.1
147726.4
Blue36
1169.0
167825.3
151117.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4443102030506070803336

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1477
#37
26.40.6
22.622.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
1678
#14
25.30.4
22.321.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
694
#54
16.10.6
13.212.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.0
1511
#67
17.10.4
13.313.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2102
#83
8.30.6
8.98.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
116
#44
9.00.5
7.97.4
Auto
Teleop
End