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Red28
42035.3
19217.6
27910.9
Blue34
6049.4
7816.5
139112.1
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions273601020405060702834

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
192
#21
17.60.0
11.311.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
78
#34
16.50.1
15.415.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
279
#40
10.90.0
10.310.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.2
1391
#62
12.10.1
12.412.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4203
#70
5.30.0
5.55.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.1
604
#15
9.40.1
7.87.8
Auto
Teleop
End