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Red23
31156.7
416111.7
8514.8
Blue48
39519.3
17648.8
247423.7
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2842010205060702348

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85
#74
14.80.3
13.313.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.9
2474
#11
23.70.3
26.026.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4161
#45
11.70.3
11.411.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.3
3951
#59
9.30.3
7.88.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3115
#79
6.70.3
3.43.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.2
1764
#92
8.80.3
8.08.3
Auto
Teleop
End