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Red38
25005.2
8514.8
147726.4
Blue31
27910.9
38809.1
188513.3
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions403101020506070803831

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1477
#37
26.40.1
23.723.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.2
1885
#55
13.30.0
12.312.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
85
#74
14.80.1
13.112.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.9
279
#40
10.90.0
11.511.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2500
#65
5.20.1
3.53.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.9
3880
#86
9.10.0
7.67.6
Auto
Teleop
End