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Red48
1169.0
97119.6
28810.4
Blue46
93210.7
4157.4
182813.9
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions372301030405060704846

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
971
#75
19.60.6
21.021.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.7
1828
#25
13.91.2
12.413.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
288
#22
10.40.6
8.79.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
932
#60
10.71.2
6.98.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
116
#44
9.00.6
7.17.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.6
415
#36
7.41.2
3.64.8
Auto
Teleop
End