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Red20
33052.8
129613.7
142111.9
Blue9
41927.3
36796.5
37304.5
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2518010304050209

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
13.70.1
12.612.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.3
7.30.2
7.47.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
11.90.1
10.910.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.4
3679
#16
6.50.2
6.56.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3305
#31
2.80.1
1.71.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.7
3730
#13
4.50.2
4.54.3
Auto
Teleop
End