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Red42
129613.7
142111.9
33052.8
Blue24
41927.3
37304.5
36796.5
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25180103040504224

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
13.70.3
12.612.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.3
7.30.1
7.27.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
11.90.3
10.811.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.4
3679
#16
6.50.1
6.46.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3305
#31
2.80.3
1.61.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.7
3730
#13
4.50.1
4.34.5
Auto
Teleop
End