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Red32
40454.5
142916.6
246811.1
Blue13
38476.3
37356.2
4568.0
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions302101040503213

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.60.0
16.116.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.5
456
#12
8.00.1
8.28.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
11.10.0
10.710.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.8
6.30.1
6.56.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4045
#15
4.50.0
4.04.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.8
3735
#17
6.20.1
6.46.2
Auto
Teleop
End