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Red3
37356.2
28054.7
40761.2
Blue0
33052.8
26135.9
43173.0
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions770510152030

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3735
#17
6.20.3
3.22.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
2613
#21
5.90.5
2.82.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2805
#19
4.70.3
1.71.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.7
4317
#18
3.00.5
2.82.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4076
#32
1.20.3
2.31.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.6
3305
#31
2.80.5
0.2-0.3
Auto
Teleop
End