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Red25
142916.6
44014.3
34131.4
Blue21
129613.7
21643.8
32822.8
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12140510152025302521

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.61.0
9.09.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.9
13.70.4
9.39.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4401
#28
4.31.0
2.43.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
3.80.4
1.62.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3413
#38
1.41.0
1.82.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.3
3282
#23
2.80.6
2.53.1
Auto
Teleop
End