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Red26
142111.9
28054.7
36266.3
Blue40
142916.6
331013.4
37356.2
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18260103040502640

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
11.90.4
11.511.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.7
16.61.0
12.813.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3626
#34
6.30.7
3.64.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.1
13.40.7
9.710.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2805
#19
4.70.6
2.63.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.5
3735
#17
6.21.0
4.55.5
Auto
Teleop
End