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Red11
44014.3
7049.4
33052.8
Blue13
4413.6
142111.9
38476.3
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions142201030401113

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
704
#14
9.40.1
8.68.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.5
11.90.4
11.611.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4401
#28
4.30.2
3.53.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.1
6.30.6
6.96.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3305
#31
2.80.2
1.41.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
441
#25
3.60.6
3.42.8
Auto
Teleop
End