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Red28
42065.2
129613.7
37911.4
Blue20
37304.5
4568.0
33052.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13130510152025302820

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
13.70.7
11.912.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.6
456
#12
8.00.4
7.68.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4206
#22
5.21.0
1.12.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
3730
#13
4.50.4
4.14.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3791
#37
1.40.9
0.61.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.3
3305
#31
2.80.4
1.21.7
Auto
Teleop
End