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Red15
21643.8
26135.9
284814.8
Blue57
40454.5
246811.1
142916.6
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2530010204050601557

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2848
#10
14.80.2
14.914.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.8
16.60.5
16.116.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2613
#21
5.90.2
6.15.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.2
11.10.4
10.711.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3.80.2
4.03.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
4045
#15
4.50.5
4.04.5
Auto
Teleop
End