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Red9
28973.1
29503.5
34091.5
Blue0
30052.2
43594.2
29650.1
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions660234578990

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2950
#24
3.50.3
1.92.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
4359
#37
4.20.5
2.31.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3.10.3
3.23.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
3005
#10
2.20.5
2.01.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3409
#21
1.50.3
0.60.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.4
2965
#36
0.10.5
1.20.8
Auto
Teleop
End