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Red22
36769.7
40904.1
43503.3
Blue1
34971.9
33922.9
36971.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67010152025221

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9.71.4
3.95.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.8
3392
#27
2.90.5
1.91.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4090
#30
4.11.4
1.63.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.2
3497
#26
1.90.3
2.72.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3.31.4
0.11.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.1
3697
#38
1.10.5
2.72.2
Auto
Teleop
End