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Red6
43503.3
43640.8
29503.5
Blue14
33690.6
29487.6
43540.8
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions560101520614

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2950
#24
3.50.0
1.61.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.1
7.60.5
6.06.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3.30.0
3.23.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.4
4354
#22
0.80.5
0.30.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4364
#25
0.80.0
0.70.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
3369
#40
0.60.7
-0.60.1
Auto
Teleop
End