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Red16
33922.9
34817.9
43594.2
Blue1
35080.5
18177.0
30052.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12110510152025161

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7.90.2
6.56.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
1817
#17
7.00.5
7.57.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4359
#37
4.20.3
3.53.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.0
3005
#10
2.20.8
3.32.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3392
#27
2.90.3
1.72.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.4
3508
#28
0.50.8
0.90.2
Auto
Teleop
End