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Red15
42591.4
36769.7
29953.2
Blue3
40904.1
43004.2
35160.8
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8905152025153

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9.70.6
2.32.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.4
4300
#16
4.22.1
4.32.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3.20.6
3.13.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.9
4090
#30
4.12.1
4.32.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4259
#18
1.41.9
1.43.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
3516
#11
0.80.4
3.53.1
Auto
Teleop
End