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Red15
15225.5
29621.1
40997.0
Blue2
32791.6
35582.5
6114.0
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions380510152025152

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4099
#41
7.01.0
1.02.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.0
611
#48
4.00.5
2.72.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1522
#47
5.50.8
0.21.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.0
3558
#30
2.50.5
2.92.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2962
#61
1.11.0
1.62.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
3279
#60
1.60.5
2.92.3
Auto
Teleop
End