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Red23
31237.7
37932.3
40674.5
Blue25
46110.1
3958.6
24210.7
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions917051520253035402325

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3123
#16
7.70.7
4.95.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.4
461
#15
10.10.4
9.19.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4067
#46
4.50.7
4.04.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.1
395
#56
8.60.5
8.79.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3793
#49
2.30.8
-0.40.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.6
2421
#51
0.70.4
-0.30.2
Auto
Teleop
End