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Red0
6192.8
35582.5
29634.8
Blue30
29611.6
121827.8
19152.7
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions932020405060030

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2963
#57
4.80.7
4.53.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 22.9
27.80.1
24.524.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
619
#45
2.80.4
2.11.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
1915
#53
2.70.2
2.62.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3558
#30
2.50.7
2.41.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
2961
#52
1.60.2
5.45.2
Auto
Teleop
End