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Red10
32764.8
38394.5
42304.7
Blue14
40111.5
25187.9
25126.8
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions91602030401014

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3276
#25
4.80.1
3.73.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.1
2518
#31
7.90.5
7.87.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4230
#55
4.72.0
4.72.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.1
2512
#11
6.80.5
9.89.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3839
#53
4.50.1
2.82.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.0
4011
#45
1.50.7
1.52.2
Auto
Teleop
End