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Red13
33672.4
18167.8
301812.4
Blue6
25187.9
24703.6
38287.2
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13120510152025136

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3018
#12
12.40.1
5.35.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.5
2518
#31
7.90.5
6.55.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1816
#26
7.80.1
5.04.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
3828
#35
7.20.5
2.62.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3367
#36
2.40.1
3.93.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.2
2470
#30
3.60.5
3.63.0
Auto
Teleop
End