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Red30
31224.9
253810.6
30562.7
Blue15
374711.6
42304.7
31023.6
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10140520253035403015

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
10.61.7
4.25.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.0
3747
#39
11.60.1
6.06.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3122
#34
4.91.7
3.24.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
4230
#55
4.70.1
3.83.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3056
#32
2.71.7
2.44.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.9
3102
#42
3.60.1
3.83.9
Auto
Teleop
End