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Red9
37880.9
21775.4
31224.9
Blue15
32764.8
42173.6
33672.4
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11805152025915

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2177
#52
5.40.1
5.75.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
3276
#25
4.80.6
2.32.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3122
#34
4.90.1
4.94.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
3.60.6
2.12.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3788
#62
0.90.1
-0.2-0.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.5
3367
#36
2.40.6
3.23.8
Auto
Teleop
End