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Red33
18167.8
282615.4
37557.2
Blue7
31972.9
38394.5
25126.8
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1814051020253035337

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.41.1
11.412.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.6
2512
#11
6.80.8
7.56.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1816
#26
7.81.1
4.45.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.3
3839
#53
4.50.8
3.83.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
7.21.1
3.95.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.3
3197
#10
2.90.8
4.74.0
Auto
Teleop
End