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Red16
30615.8
40111.5
38467.5
Blue33
21775.4
205213.4
282615.4
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11250203040501633

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3846
#51
7.50.5
5.96.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.9
15.40.4
12.513.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3061
#38
5.80.5
3.54.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.6
13.40.4
9.610.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4011
#45
1.50.5
1.01.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.9
2177
#52
5.40.4
5.66.1
Auto
Teleop
End