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Red29
33122.4
30615.8
216919.8
Blue3
38467.5
37880.9
30542.5
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20903040293

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2169
#19
19.80.8
14.615.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.3
3846
#51
7.50.5
6.35.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3061
#38
5.80.8
4.04.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.3
3054
#64
2.50.5
2.82.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3312
#56
2.40.8
1.21.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
3788
#62
0.90.5
-0.1-0.6
Auto
Teleop
End