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Red6
8775.8
21775.4
24913.7
Blue15
37540.3
22647.6
37557.2
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1715051020253035615

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
877
#46
5.80.8
6.65.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.8
2264
#24
7.60.1
7.07.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2177
#52
5.40.9
6.35.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.8
7.20.1
6.97.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2491
#40
3.70.8
4.53.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.4
3754
#61
0.30.1
0.20.3
Auto
Teleop
End