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Red52
205213.4
253810.6
32764.8
Blue42
253012.9
32616.3
31308.3
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20230103040505242

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
13.42.2
10.512.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
2530
#18
12.91.3
11.713.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
10.62.2
8.110.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.3
3130
#13
8.31.4
6.98.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3276
#25
4.82.2
2.44.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.5
3261
#22
6.31.3
5.06.3
Auto
Teleop
End