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Red15
12310.7
26206.0
25913.1
Blue1
11894.1
26763.2
36055.2
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1810020304050151

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
123
#15
10.70.1
9.89.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.6
3605
#36
5.20.8
3.32.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2620
#23
6.00.1
4.84.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.9
1189
#13
4.10.8
3.52.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3.10.1
2.22.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
2676
#32
3.20.8
3.32.6
Auto
Teleop
End