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Red12
25913.1
35386.5
30021.0
Blue6
31151.2
8181.2
26113.6
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6901015202530126

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6.50.3
0.71.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.9
2611
#17
3.60.1
1.21.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3.10.6
3.23.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.9
3115
#10
1.20.2
3.63.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3002
#24
1.00.6
1.21.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
818
#30
1.20.2
3.02.9
Auto
Teleop
End