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Red5
18755.8
40652.7
31325.0
Blue7
34214.4
39984.4
40664.3
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1213051015202530354057

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1875
#51
5.80.6
4.64.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.6
342
#14
14.40.6
9.28.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3132
#24
5.00.6
3.32.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
4.40.6
2.92.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4065
#55
2.70.6
4.43.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.5
4066
#19
4.30.6
2.01.4
Auto
Teleop
End