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Red10
27571.3
35573.2
40133.3
Blue8
23837.9
37902.1
29161.5
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4701015202530108

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4013
#33
3.30.6
2.02.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.7
2383
#10
7.90.1
4.84.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3557
#41
3.20.6
0.10.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
3790
#59
2.10.1
0.30.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2757
#56
1.30.6
0.91.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
2916
#32
1.50.1
2.12.2
Auto
Teleop
End