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Red15
42143.8
34214.4
30114.7
Blue48
159219.3
152314.5
16122.5
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15210103040501548

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
342
#14
14.40.1
10.010.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.9
1592
#18
19.32.2
11.914.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3011
#16
4.70.1
4.34.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.8
14.52.2
6.48.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4214
#52
3.80.1
1.51.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
1612
#45
2.52.2
2.95.1
Auto
Teleop
End