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Red36
43215.7
35568.6
190213.2
Blue2
215.9
25566.1
37821.8
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2113051025303540362

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1902
#17
13.21.3
8.09.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.1
2556
#22
6.11.0
6.85.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3556
#44
8.61.3
8.19.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.6
21
#47
5.91.0
4.83.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4321
#50
5.71.3
4.25.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.9
3782
#40
1.81.0
2.21.2
Auto
Teleop
End