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Red40
9456.9
40664.3
159219.3
Blue15
15574.9
25566.1
31647.0
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22170102030404015

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1592
#18
19.31.2
16.918.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.4
3164
#48
7.00.1
6.36.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
945
#20
6.91.2
4.35.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
2556
#22
6.10.1
6.46.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4066
#19
4.31.2
2.13.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
1557
#26
4.90.1
3.63.5
Auto
Teleop
End