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Red10
40243.6
31325.0
35024.5
Blue0
35573.2
42224.9
37821.8
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14120510202530100

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3132
#24
5.00.3
5.35.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
4222
#49
4.90.8
5.74.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4.50.3
4.84.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
3557
#41
3.20.8
4.13.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4024
#58
3.60.3
3.93.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
3782
#40
1.80.8
2.61.8
Auto
Teleop
End