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Red11
39593.6
41632.9
177111.7
Blue5
29748.2
35737.1
36940.9
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1311020304050115

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
11.70.2
8.68.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.5
2974
#11
8.20.5
5.55.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3959
#29
3.60.2
2.22.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.5
3573
#19
7.10.5
3.73.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4163
#41
2.90.2
2.82.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.9
3694
#54
0.90.5
1.71.2
Auto
Teleop
End