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Red9
36353.6
40808.2
241517.6
Blue14
36006.5
33446.8
5907.0
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions159020304050914

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.60.7
11.210.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.6
590
#5
7.00.4
2.32.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
8.26.2
8.22.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.4
3344
#31
6.80.4
4.75.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3635
#38
3.60.7
3.73.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.8
3600
#12
6.50.4
2.02.4
Auto
Teleop
End