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Red3
42351.3
41120.9
39593.6
Blue4
37763.7
26553.5
28153.9
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5701015202534

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3959
#29
3.60.1
2.01.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
2815
#45
3.90.2
2.92.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4235
#49
1.30.1
1.41.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.4
3.70.2
1.00.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4112
#60
0.90.1
1.21.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.5
2655
#22
3.50.2
2.82.6
Auto
Teleop
End