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Red37
17953.2
29184.7
241517.6
Blue10
33184.5
42872.7
33293.2
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions146010202530353710

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.61.7
10.011.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.0
3318
#21
4.50.3
2.12.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2918
#16
4.71.7
3.65.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
3329
#43
3.20.3
2.32.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1795
#36
3.21.7
2.54.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
4287
#58
2.70.3
1.92.2
Auto
Teleop
End