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Red10
32656.7
33446.8
36531.8
Blue14
29184.7
41490.7
8327.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1313010203040501014

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3344
#31
6.80.3
6.86.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
832
#13
7.40.1
6.97.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3265
#15
6.70.3
4.54.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.0
2918
#16
4.70.1
4.84.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3653
#47
1.80.3
2.82.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
4149
#55
0.70.1
0.70.8
Auto
Teleop
End