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Red9
131111.4
14144.7
10020.8
Blue24
42872.7
18772.8
41898.2
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14100520253035924

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
11.40.4
8.68.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.1
4189
#17
8.21.2
5.56.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1414
#48
4.70.4
4.44.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.9
1877
#35
2.81.2
1.52.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1002
#56
0.80.4
1.00.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.9
4287
#58
2.71.2
3.14.3
Auto
Teleop
End